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Archive for November, 2009

Michael Barone: Global Warming Consensus – Garbage In, Garbage Out

November 30, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: News Links

“The 61 megabytes of CRU e-mails and documents made public by a hacker cast serious doubt on the ballyhooed consensus on manmade global warming that the Copenhagen summit was called to address.

“The CRU has been a major source of data on global temperatures, relied on by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. But the e-mails suggest that CRU scientists have been suppressing and misstating data and working to prevent the publication of conflicting views in peer-reviewed science periodicals…

“The most charitable plausible explanation I have seen comes from The Atlantic’s Megan McArdle. ‘The CRU’s main computer model may be, to put it bluntly, complete rubbish.’”

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/11/30/global_warming_consensus_garbage_in_garbage_out__99333.html

Climategate E-mails Sweep America, May Scuttle Barack Obama’s Cap and Trade Laws

November 29, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: News Links

“Fox News, Barack Obama’s Nemesis, is now on the case, trampling all over Al Gore’s organic vegetable patch and breaking the White House windows. It has extracted some of the juiciest quotes from the e-mails and displayed them on-screen, with commentaries. Joe Public, coast-to-coast, now knows, thanks to the clowns at East Anglia’s CRU, just how royally he has been screwed.

“Senator James Inhofe’s Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works has written to all the relevant US Government agencies, acquainting them with the nature of the e-mails. But the real car crash for Obama is on Capitol Hill where it is now confidently believed his Cap and Trade climate legislation is toast. It was always problematic; but with a growing awakening to the scale of the scientific imposture sweeping the world, as far as the Antipodes, the clever money is on Cap and Trade laws failing to pass, with many legislators sceptical and the mid-term elections looming ever closer…

“At this rate, Copenhagen is going to turn into a comedy convention with the real world laughing at these liars.”

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/geraldwarner/100018034/climategate-%20%20e-mails-sweep-america-may-scuttle-barack-obamas-cap-and-trade-laws/

A Year of Magical Thinking: The Democrats’ Health Care Dream Is Everyone Else’s Nightmare

November 28, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: News Links

“Next time you run into a group of Democrats, offer to splash water on their faces. They’ve spent 2009 in a dream state, and it’s time they wake up. They’re convinced that they can subsidize health insurance for millions of people while also ‘bending the cost curve’ of health care spending. They want to sign us up for the political equivalent of one of those three-step ‘eat more to lose weight’ diets. Step one: Pile on the expenditures, regulations, taxes, and fees. Step two: Close your eyes. Step three: Pray it all works out in the end.

“Sorry, it won’t. Entitlements cost money, and they almost invariably cost more than the government’s initial predictions. When you increase demand for a product and the supply remains fixed, the price rises. Thanks to the individual mandate, the Democratic health care bills lasso Americans into a heavily regulated health insurance oligopoly. All these new consumers will wander through the government-run ‘exchanges,’ buying the plans they can afford with taxpayer subsidies. As demand for health care increases, so will the cost.

“The idea that expanding coverage will save the country money has always been a fantasy. True, the Congressional Budget Office found that, under certain assumptions that the authors of the legislation in effect required the CBO to make, the House and Senate health bills might not blow up the deficit over the next decade. But that won’t happen in the real world. For one thing, doctors’ reimbursements just aren’t going to be cut 20 percent…

“The White House is trying to persuade skeptical moderate Democrats that the Pelosi-Reid bills–though unpopular with the public and intellectually incoherent–are the only game in town. They’re not. It’s up to Republicans to make clear that they are willing to work with moderate Democrats in 2010 on incremental, practical, non-magical reforms. If Pelosi-Reid is defeated now, sensible health care reform is both possible and indeed likely next year.”

http://www.weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/017/267aexag.asp

Charles Krauthammer: Kill the Bills. Do Health Reform Right

November 27, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: News Links

“The United States has the best health care in the world — but because of its inefficiencies, also the most expensive. The fundamental problem with the 2,074-page Senate health-care bill (as with its 2,014-page House counterpart) is that it wildly compounds the complexity by adding hundreds of new provisions, regulations, mandates, committees and other arbitrary bureaucratic inventions.

“Worse, they are packed into a monstrous package without any regard to each other. The only thing linking these changes — such as the 118 new boards, commissions and programs — is political expediency. Each must be able to garner just enough votes to pass. There is not even a pretense of a unifying vision or conceptual harmony.

“The result is an overregulated, overbureaucratized system of surpassing arbitrariness and inefficiency. Throw a dart at the Senate tome:

“– You’ll find mandates with financial penalties — the amounts picked out of a hat.

“– You’ll find insurance companies (who live and die by their actuarial skills) told exactly what weight to give risk factors, such as age. Currently insurance premiums for 20-somethings are about one-sixth the premiums for 60-somethings. The House bill dictates the young shall now pay at minimum one-half; the Senate bill, one-third — numbers picked out of a hat.

“– You’ll find sliding scales for health-insurance subsidies — percentages picked out of a hat — that will radically raise marginal income tax rates for middle- class recipients, among other crazy unintended consequences.

“The bill is irredeemable. It should not only be defeated. It should be immolated, its ashes scattered over the Senate swimming pool.

“Then do health care the right way — one reform at a time, each simple and simplifying, aimed at reducing complexity, arbitrariness and inefficiency.”

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/11/27/kill_the_bills_do_health_reform_right_99313.html

Michael Barone: Damn the Deficit – Full Speed Ahead on Health Care

November 26, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: News Links

“[T]he trajectory of administration spending and revenue is pushing the annual deficit toward $1,000,000,000,000 — that’s $1 trillion — for the next decade.

“Congressional Democrats’ health care bills threaten to add to that. The bill currently before the Senate is advertised as costing less than $1 trillion. But significant spending doesn’t kick in till 2014 and over the ensuing 10 years adds up to $1.8 trillion, nearly double that…

“Yet the congressional Democrats who are pressing to expand federal health care spending do not seem much fazed by the prospect that… ‘the level of taxation it would require to meet projected spending needs is far higher than anything the country has ever seen-slash-tolerated.’

“Democratic leaders nonetheless want to jam [a bill] through before their current majorities are eroded, as they seem likely to be, in the 2010 elections.”

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2009/11/26/damn_the_deficit_full_speed_ahead_on_health_care__99309.html

Cheating the Political Death Panel

November 25, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: Health Insurance

In their quest to pass health care reform legislation, Democrats have been cheating death, robbing Peter to pay Paul, taking candy from babies, lying through their teeth, moving the goalposts, and burning the candle at both ends.  It is all about to catch up with them.

If I were an editorial cartoonist, I’d depict Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi as Tarzan and Jane, swinging through the forest, dangling a ragtag bundle of Congressional Democrats in a net trap, eking their way from one tree to the next as each vine snaps behind them, nearly sending them to their death in the jaws of lions below.

Here are a few of the nine lives Congressional Democrats have used up in recent months:

(1)    The House version of the health care bill passed in a squeaker of a vote, 220-215, three weeks ago.  Two Democrats voting the other way would have killed the bill (not 3, since Republican Representative Joseph Cao cast his vote for the bill only once he was sure it would pass without him).

(2)    The Senate agreed to begin debate on its version of the bill in another squeaker of a vote this weekend, which was preceded by a $300,000,000 payoff to Senator Landrieu for her state of Louisiana (thanks for the revised figure, Mary!).  As Dana Milbank noted, this sum is 20 times the price of the original Louisiana Purchase, which bought us 14 states.  As The New York Post observed, based on Louisiana Representative William Jefferson’s recent 13-year sentence for accepting a $100,000 bribe, Landrieu should spend the next 39,000 years in jail.

(3)    Pelosi violated her pledge to post the final version of any legislation online for 72 hours.  Instead, she and Reid have been finishing their handiwork on Friday night and ramming through their votes on Saturday night.  Defeating these bills would be hard enough if the public had time to digest them and hold politicians accountable for supporting them, but now congressmen can claim that they were unaware of ornery provisions slipped in at the last minute, because they were unable to speed-read 300 pages of legalese an hour.

(4)    Leaders of both houses have been inserting, modifying, watering down, or removing passages to get approval for the bill or beginning debate, when they know full well that crucial blocs of defectors will never vote for current legislation in the final vote.  These holdouts will demand that all changes be unmade, which will cause even larger chunks of the Democrats’ fragile majorities to drift away.  For example, Pelosi banned federal funding of abortion in the House bill, a restriction that a dozen representatives will never accept in the final bill.  Reid reinserted in the Senate bill a public option, which had been absent from all committee versions, when he knows that every Republican and at least four Democrats would filibuster a vote on such a bill.

(5)    Reid bought holdout votes from centrist Democrats by making minor concessions tailored to their districts’ concerns.  To support the final bill, these and other Democrats are demanding much bigger concessions, which conflict with each other and with demands made by those in the House.  It is not physically possible to satisfy all of these lawmakers’ requirements at once, which is why Reid and Pelosi have barely been able to do it with 12 different versions of the bill over a period of several months.

(6)    Democrats are willing to slash funding for Medicare, which Jay Cost calls “the most significant fiscal policy ‘achievement’ of the Democratic Party in the last seventy years” [scare quotes mine].  Doing so has cost them the support of seniors, who oppose the bill even more comprehensively than the general public.

(7)    Rasmussen reported on Monday that support for the bill has fallen to a new low of 38%.  Some Senators have been jeopardizing their reelection in 2010 by their support for their bill, and at least one—junior Senator Michael Bennet—has been bragging about it.

(8)    Senator Chuck Schumer is now resorting to bald-faced threats, which should go over wonderfully with the public; recently he declared on behalf of all of Congress, “We’re not going to not pass a bill.”

All of this is already starting to take its toll on Democrats: witness the retreat of Republican Senator Olympia Snowe, who voted not to allow debate on Reid’s bill to proceed, when formerly she had been trumpeted as giving the bill a bipartisan veneer by supporting the Senate Finance Committee’s version.  Democrats think they can pass a bill by tossing concessions left and right to keep the ball rolling through each stage, but their momentum is eventually going to grind to a halt.

On a more general note, anyone trying to do something impossible—in this case, have government take over a sixth of the economy and provide better, more widespread care at lower costs than the private sector, with no sacrifices required from anyone—necessarily fights a harder battle than his opponents, because reality is not on his side.  Republicans, as ineffective and mealy-mouthed as some of them have been in making the case against Congress’s bill, possess the inherent advantage of the truth.  The American people and a vigilant alternative media can discover the truth if no one else will.

Congressional Democrats up for reelection next year for one of 535 seats are about to experience a whole new type of rationing.

As Featured On EzineArticles

Lieberman Digs In on Public Option

November 24, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: News Links

“[Lieberman's] objection is based on fiscal risk: ‘Once the government creates an insurance company or plan, the government or the taxpayers are liable for any deficit that government plan runs, really without limit,’ he says. ‘With our debt heading over $21 trillion within the next 10 years… we’ve got to start saying no to some things like this.’

“Mr. Lieberman also notes that the public option wasn’t a big feature of past health-overhaul plans or the campaign debate of 2008. So he says he finds it odd that it now has become a central demand — which it has, he suspects, because some Democrats wanted a full-bore, single-payer, government-run health plan, and were offered a public option as a consolation.”

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125900412679261049.html?mod=WSJ_hpp_LEFTTopStories

Schumer: Dems Ready to Go-It-Alone on Health Care

November 23, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: News Links

“Schumer argued that Republican critics ‘haven’t put any alternative on the floor.’

“[Kay Bailey] Hutchison… said that Republicans ‘have put alternatives on the floor,’ including individual tax credits that would not include cutting Medicare and permitting a government takeover of the health care system…

“Many middle-class families who’d now be required to buy coverage would still find the premiums a stretch, even with government aid. A new federal fund to provide temporary coverage for people with health problems would quickly run out of cash.”

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20091123/ap_on_bi_ge/us_health_care_overhaul

How Health Care Reform Could Fall Apart

November 22, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: News Links

How could health care reform not fall apart?

“Here are the battle lines where President Barack Obama’s vision of reform could falter.

“No good option for public option…

“No room for abortion compromise…

“Millionaires vs. Cadillacs…

“Scaring seniors: Medicare cuts, higher premiums?…

“Health fix fuels deficit worries”

http://news.yahoo.com/s/politico/20091122/pl_politico/29798;_ylt=AqBkha2iw5KQfAPP21BRmZR0fNdF

The Administration Guts Its Own Argument for 9/11 Trials

November 21, 2009 By: Scott Spiegel Category: News Links

“During his appearance before the Senate Judiciary Committee yesterday, Eric Holder struggled all day to justify his decision to put Khalid Sheikh Mohammed on trial because he has no coherent principle to invoke.  He can’t possibly defend the sanctity of jury trials in our political system — the most potent argument justifying what he did — since he’s the same person who is simultaneously denying trials to Guantanamo detainees by sending them to military commissions and even explicitly promising that some of them will be held without charges of any kind…

“Even worse, Holder was reduced to admitting — even boasting — that this concocted multi-tiered justice system (trials for some, commissions for others, indefinite detention for the rest) enables the Government to pick and choose what level of due process someone gets based on the Government’s assessment as to where and how they’re most likely to get a conviction…”

http://www.salon.com/news/opinion/glenn_greenwald/2009/11/19/obama/index.html